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Connecting the dots


Latest Seasonal Assessment

As the wet season nears its end in the West, coincident with the waning El Niño, a return to climatologically dry conditions is favored across the region.

Though the final drought-related statistics for California are still being determined, it appears that northern portions of the state fared well this past winter season in such areas as precipitation, snowpack, and reservoir levels.

Southern California did not fare as well, despite the presence of one of the strongest El Niño's on record. Late season precipitation was indeed welcome in southern California, but unfortunately, significant moisture deficits remain.

Much of the Desert Southwest also missed out on anticipated El-Niño related precipitation this past winter. During the next two weeks, above-median precipitation is favored across portions of California, the Great Basin, and the Southwest. However, the heaviest precipitation is expected to occur outside the ongoing drought areas.

For the upcoming May-June-July (MJJ) season, drought persistence is forecast for most areas west of the Continental Divide. For the Great Plains and Middle Mississippi Valley, however, MJJ is climatologically a wet time of year, due to the passage of frontal systems and nocturnal thunderstorm clusters (MCS's).

About one-half of the annual precipitation that falls over the lower Plains typically occurs during MJJ, and approximately one-third of the annual precipitation that falls over the High Plains usually occurs in MJJ. Precipitation outlooks out to 90-days in the future also favor a relatively wet pattern. Based on these factors, a one-category improvement in drought conditions is expected across the Great Plains, the eastern foothills of the northern Rockies, and the Middle Mississippi Valley.

In the subtropical North Pacific, the climatological trade wind regime has returned to the Hawaiian Islands, after some disruption associated with the El Niño. This pattern change favors heavy precipitation for east- and northeast-facing (windward) slopes, and drought removal. Leeward slopes, situated in the rain shadow areas of high terrain, are favored to experience drought persistence during the MJJ season.

At this time, there is no drought in Alaska. Across the Caribbean, the annual return of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and the Atlantic hurricane season signals a return of the wet season. A one-category improvement in drought conditions is therefore predicted in Puerto Rico.


U.S. Drought Monitor




An active weather pattern over much of the eastern United States brought with it cooler than normal temperatures for most areas east of the Mississippi River.

Areas of the Mid-Atlantic and Florida recorded above-normal precipitation with departures of up to 2 inches above normal for the week. Temperatures were also cooler than normal over the Southwest as above-normal precipitation from southern Oregon to western Arizona helped to keep temperatures down.

Areas of the central Rocky Mountains recorded up to 4 inches above normal precipitation as a series of low pressure systems developed there and tracked onto the Plains. Drier than normal conditions dominated much of the South and much of the northern United States had above-normal temperatures.




Global Drought Monitor



Severe Weather Watch

Global Warming brings Climate Change and increasing amounts of precipitation. Wake up folks!
Around the globe we will experience more extreme weather, from drought to floods, wildfires, storms, tornadoes and hurricanes.

2016.02.13 Bridgetown, Barbados Severe drought across Caribbean


Hurricane Sandy - October 2012





Hurricane Igor - September 2010

Hurricane Igor

Hurricane Igor was the most destructive tropical cyclone on record to strike the Canadian island province of Newfoundland. The origins of Igor were within a broad area of low pressure that formed on August 26, 2010, over Ghana. Tracking slowly westward, it developed into a tropical depression on September 8 and a tropical storm shortly thereafter. Increased wind shear temporarily halted intensification over the following days. On September 12, explosive intensification took place, with Igor reaching Category 4 status on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A prolonged turn towards the north was apparent by this time. Peaking with winds of 155 mph (250 km/h), the system gradually weakened before brushing Bermuda as a minimal hurricane on September 20. Turning northeast, Igor began to transition into extratropical cyclone, completing this phase within hours of striking southern Newfoundland. The remnants of Igor were later absorbed by another cyclone on September 23 over the water between Labrador and Greenland.

It resulted in minor damage throughout Bermuda, totaling about $500,000. Later, before becoming an extratropical cyclone, Igor caused significant damage in Newfoundland, roughly $200 million. Due to the extent of damage in Newfoundland, the name Igor was later retired by the World Meteorological Organization and replaced with Ian.


Typhoon Sondga

2011.05.27 - Typhoon Sondga


Hurricane Irene 2011

Hurricane Irene heading for US East Coast

2011.08.25 01:15UTC


2013 Hurricane Season

2013 Atlantic Hurrincane Season (wikipedia)

System Category Date Winds km/h Pressure mbars Location
Andrea TS Jun 5 - 9 100 992 Yucatán Peninsula, Cuba, Eastern US, Canada
Barry TS Jun 17-19 75 1003 Central America, Mexico
Chantal TS Jul 8 - 10 100 1005 Central Atlantic
Dorian TS Jul 24 - Aug 3 95 999 Central Atlantic
Erin TS Aug 15 - 18 65 1006 Central Atlantic
Fernand TS Aug 25 -26 95 999 Mexico
Gabrielle TS Sep 4 - 13 95 1003 Eastern Caribbean
Humberto 1 Sep 8 -14 140 980 Central Atlantic
Ingrid 1 Sep 12 - active 145 990 Mexico




TS = Tropical Storm
Annual average tropical disturbances = 11. For Year 2010 = 19.
Annual average hurricanes = 6. For Year 2010 = 12.

NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NHC - National Hurricane Center

UCAR - University Corporation for Atmospheric Research


Hurricane Watch

National Weather Service - National Hurricane Centre

Current Tropical Cyclones


NOAA National Weather Service

Storm Prediction Center




2011 Mar 31

NASA Earth Observatory - Natural Hazards

Crops and Drought



Severe Storms



2011 Mar 18

Feeling the Sting of Climate Change


Video: 5 min (requires Flash Player)


2011 May 21

Irish Weather Online

2011.05.21 - Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast



Spring 2011

Flood Watch

Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada


Live Flood Webcams

Winnipeg Free Press - Flood Fight 2011 - from the air

Winnipeg Free Press - Flood Fight 2011 - from the ground

Manitoba Flood 2011

The Assiniboine River overflows its banks in Brandon, Manitoba. 2011 May 12.

Global Winnipeg

Global Winnipeg - 2011 April 04

Saskatchewan Flood Information


North Dakota, U.S.A.

NOAA Flood Watch

Google Maps

Red River Valley - Fargo Flood 2011

Red River Flood News 2011

Red River Flood 2011 on Facebook

Valley Flood Watch: Red River Valley, Fargo, North Dakota

Irish Weather Online: Major flooding likely in North Central U.S.A.

Environment News Service: Spring floods begin, March 21


Ontario, Canada

Ministry of Natural Resources


Fire Danger

2015 July 05

Canada Fire Map


Fire Danger Map



Natural Resources Canada

Forest Fires in Canada

Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources - Current Forest Fires

Ontario MNR - Aviation, Forest Fire & Emergency Services


We are conducting a very critical experiment that endangers all living species.

Are we already past the point of no return?








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